East Tenn. St.
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
291  Katie Hirko SO 20:36
986  Chelsea Clark SR 21:33
1,735  Jessica Palmer JR 22:18
1,761  Victoria Hutchens FR 22:20
2,219  Lisa Pallotta SO 22:49
2,426  Carmen Hilliard FR 23:04
National Rank #149 of 340
South Region Rank #15 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 20th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 67.2%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Hirko Chelsea Clark Jessica Palmer Victoria Hutchens Lisa Pallotta Carmen Hilliard
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/05 1180 20:29 21:20 22:44 22:58 23:06 24:03
Blue Ridge Open 10/18 1197 20:45 22:08 22:27 22:18 22:27 22:28
Atlantic Sun Championship 11/02 1162 20:36 21:21 22:12 22:09 22:36 22:40
South Region Championships 11/15 1190 20:37 21:38 21:55 22:12 23:15 23:28





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 19.3 574 0.2 0.5 1.7 2.1 3.8 5.7 8.8 11.1 15.3 18.0 15.9 8.6 4.4 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Hirko 1.9% 140.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Hirko 25.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.6 1.1 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.7 3.5 3.1 4.0 3.7 3.5 4.2 4.1 3.9 4.0 3.9
Chelsea Clark 88.6
Jessica Palmer 142.3
Victoria Hutchens 143.1
Lisa Pallotta 172.8
Carmen Hilliard 188.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 0.2% 0.2 11
12 0.5% 0.5 12
13 1.7% 1.7 13
14 2.1% 2.1 14
15 3.8% 3.8 15
16 5.7% 5.7 16
17 8.8% 8.8 17
18 11.1% 11.1 18
19 15.3% 15.3 19
20 18.0% 18.0 20
21 15.9% 15.9 21
22 8.6% 8.6 22
23 4.4% 4.4 23
24 2.2% 2.2 24
25 0.9% 0.9 25
26 0.4% 0.4 26
27 0.1% 0.1 27
28 0.2% 0.2 28
29 0.0% 0.0 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0